Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.179595 0.208254 0.240025 0.277863 0.321711 0.370945 0.430451
2025-06-15 0.135142 0.173603 0.220767 0.282890 0.362643 0.461715 0.594351
2025-06-22 0.107464 0.148093 0.201486 0.276856 0.380680 0.518946 0.717587
2025-06-29 0.089896 0.131182 0.188590 0.274342 0.399464 0.575847 0.844319
2025-07-06 0.078112 0.119778 0.180615 0.276056 0.422440 0.639236 0.986208
2025-07-13 0.071763 0.115042 0.181062 0.289291 0.462897 0.731660 1.181661
2025-07-20 0.065725 0.109717 0.179560 0.298746 0.497913 0.818986 1.379222
2025-07-27 0.060512 0.104873 0.177951 0.307383 0.532028 0.908021 1.589694
2025-08-03 0.055010 0.098731 0.173281 0.309986 0.555808 0.981927 1.782648
2025-08-10 0.049314 0.091464 0.165703 0.306359 0.567854 1.036351 1.946913
2025-08-17 0.043511 0.083247 0.155409 0.296419 0.566967 1.067060 2.070584
2025-08-24 0.040786 0.080395 0.154472 0.303588 0.598491 1.160220 2.322621
2025-08-31 0.037453 0.076052 0.150387 0.304518 0.618695 1.235339 2.551162
2025-09-07 0.034972 0.073101 0.148657 0.309912 0.648444 1.332603 2.836919
2025-09-14 0.031527 0.067744 0.141497 0.303301 0.652689 1.378786 3.021728
2025-09-21 0.028856 0.063683 0.136494 0.300545 0.664561 1.441762 3.249780
2025-09-28 0.026886 0.060890 0.133814 0.302423 0.686561 1.528494 3.540537
2025-10-05 0.026135 0.060702 0.136706 0.316932 0.738274 1.685719 4.010361
2025-10-12 0.025095 0.059729 0.137738 0.327297 0.781682 1.829105 4.465525
2025-10-19 0.024058 0.058636 0.138365 0.336765 0.824046 1.974738 4.943963
2025-10-26 0.022655 0.056501 0.136333 0.339619 0.850804 2.086529 5.352971
2025-11-02 0.020951 0.053429 0.131734 0.335642 0.860245 2.157523 5.667856
2025-11-09 0.019007 0.049528 0.124702 0.324745 0.850943 2.181149 5.863282